Movies · resolved market
No one announced as next James Bond?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a01c1687c781829cc90198cfd3c73f9ce64bca2a8960527868b0ad737e53f89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $958,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,056,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $958,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 698 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed No | 9c | 76,575$6,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,549.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5a…c318backed No | 3c | 26,558$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed No | 7c | 20,351$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 4c | 19,378$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.31 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 46c | 16,027$7,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600.38 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…ce76backed No | 6c | 15,925$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed No | 3c | 15,612$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 4c | 14,690$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.29 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 77c | 9,998$7,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81de…20d4backed No | 0c | 9,758$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…d661backed No | 7c | 9,037$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +2,376%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed No | 0c | 9,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…2618backed No | 2c | 8,643$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed No | 3c | 8,627$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 6c | 7,746$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked No | 1c | 7,696$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 5c | 5,712$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 5c | 5,424$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.3 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed No | 1c | 5,335$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…7d42backed No | 9c | 5,201$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 2c | 4,962$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…400ebacked No | 5c | 4,592$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 4,176$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 6c | 3,803$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 55c | 3,667$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 8c | 3,627$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.28 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 59c | 3,593$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 9c | 3,451$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed No | 7c | 3,044$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 6c | 3,006$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed No | 6c | 3,000$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 3c | 2,811$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…3239backed No | 5c | 2,515$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 30c | 2,488$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…6d78backed No | 2c | 2,488$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…5c72backed No | 4c | 2,465$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 9c | 2,099$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50d…7979backed Yes | 21c | 2,089$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +135%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 2,041$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 8c | 2,000$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 8c | 2,000$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 9c | 2,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 1,988$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…ef2ebacked No | 8c | 1,900$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed Yes | 40c | 1,831$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed No | 59c | 1,827$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.45 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,774$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.6 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 7c | 1,767$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 39c | 1,707$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.41 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed No | 4c | 1,690$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 28c | 1,613$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.74 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 3c | 1,611$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 9c | 1,599$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked No | 7c | 1,573$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked No | 64c | 1,560$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 6c | 1,525$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 59c | 1,519$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.21 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed No | 6c | 1,502$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 41c | 1,484$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.21 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…003cbacked No | 3c | 1,479$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 1c | 1,425$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 60c | 1,399$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.49 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed No | 9c | 1,350$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 27c | 1,348$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.56 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 5c | 1,338$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed No | 6c | 1,330$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 1,283$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed No | 8c | 1,250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 43c | 1,248$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.83 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,229$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.08 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 21c | 1,214$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked No | 60c | 1,181$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed Yes | 41c | 1,173$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 60c | 1,162$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked No | 1c | 1,155$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 40c | 1,110$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 60c | 1,076$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 31c | 1,048$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes | 40c | 1,036$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed No | 8c | 1,020$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 68c | 1,019$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.71 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,014$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked Yes | 40c | 1,014$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…0e21backed No | 6c | 1,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.9 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked No | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…00c6backed No | 2c | 999.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 65c | 999.54$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 8c | 999.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 40c | 999$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.45 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 59c | 974$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 4c | 972.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 60c | 970$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.16 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…68cfbacked No | 37c | 953.6$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +204.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 60c | 945$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked No | 59c | 941$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.19 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 15c | 931.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed No | 59c | 929$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.79 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 40c | 929$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No one announced as next James Bond?this page
- Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?No won
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No won
- Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No won
- Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?No won
- Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?No won
- Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?No won
- Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?No won
- James Norton announced as next James Bond?No won
- Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?No won
- Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?No won
- Theo James announced as next James Bond?No won
- Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?No won
- Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.