Movies · resolved market
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e7734d08c3a532cf0b9c67cfba476f4910bddedf15c5d613d1ef94d1f15e533
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 26c | 6,388$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.93 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7063…eb48backed Yes | 6c | 4,203$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bf…6a05backed Yes | 4c | 4,126$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…e8e8backed No | 72c | 3,087$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,826$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f65…3924backed Yes | 4c | 2,627$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…b25abacked Yes | 4c | 2,613$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…86bebacked Yes | 5c | 2,553$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…18cfbacked Yes | 6c | 2,500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…d8bcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,472$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…8aacbacked Yes | 4c | 2,414$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c37…d22dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,367$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,274$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,213$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes | 2c | 2,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e3…7ae1backed Yes | 8c | 2,131$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 4c | 1,977$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 2c | 1,900$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…6badbacked Yes | 2c | 1,900$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 5c | 1,823$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…9a8cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,800$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…2cecbacked Yes | 5c | 1,705$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…b3a6backed Yes | 5c | 1,681$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes | 4c | 1,644$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…7704backed Yes | 4c | 1,632$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…adecbacked Yes | 5c | 1,557$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,503$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc1…ba70backed Yes | 5c | 1,501$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…a970backed Yes | 5c | 1,472$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…7fd9backed Yes | 4c | 1,422$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbabb…4301backed Yes | 5c | 1,401$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…b49fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…245dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…71b7backed Yes | 2c | 1,400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9526…43dcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,395$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c82…800bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,381$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,344$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…6a9ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,316$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9749…a63abacked Yes | 5c | 1,310$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6225…5eb6backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b2…e13ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,292$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f5…e319backed Yes | 5c | 1,271$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f2…f61dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,261$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d4…9b22backed Yes | 4c | 1,258$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…803abacked Yes | 3c | 1,183$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6997…da91backed Yes | 5c | 1,172$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbf…9941backed Yes | 5c | 1,158$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…4eeebacked Yes | 12c | 1,156$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6e…01a6backed Yes | 6c | 1,131$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…680fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b1…8dfabacked Yes | 6c | 1,111$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573e…3324backed Yes | 4c | 1,092$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80c…d966backed Yes | 5c | 1,087$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09c…0b38backed Yes | 2c | 1,081$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 15c | 1,080$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.62 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…bcc7backed Yes | 4c | 1,075$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…41abbacked Yes | 3c | 1,069$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…011ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,057$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…f1c5backed Yes | 5c | 1,027$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 1,003$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…b293backed Yes | 4c | 975.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4af…ddcabacked Yes | 5c | 961$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…d9a6backed Yes | 3c | 950.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9947…e5c3backed Yes | 1c | 950$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…b146backed Yes | 5c | 949$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…338abacked Yes | 5c | 938$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…07abbacked Yes | 4c | 913$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…99f3backed Yes | 5c | 909$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 3c | 881.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…84c3backed Yes | 4c | 803$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa512…77ddbacked Yes | 3c | 793.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8919…2c81backed Yes | 3c | 790.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 4c | 750.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bd…b94fbacked Yes | 3c | 746.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8125…c698backed Yes | 5c | 734$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7392…b93abacked Yes | 4c | 686$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…2014backed Yes | 6c | 617$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…ca4bbacked Yes | 5c | 616$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…8c56backed Yes | 21c | 572.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81db…3237backed Yes | 6c | 566$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…c0fcbacked Yes | 5c | 541$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 515.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed Yes | 6c | 512.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5e…fa88backed Yes | 9c | 509.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54a…4f02backed Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…c7c7backed Yes | 6c | 482$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…6563backed Yes | 6c | 465$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…4348backed Yes | 6c | 444$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed Yes | 11c | 428.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 5c | 420.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…981abacked Yes | 6c | 412$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…18a9backed Yes | 6c | 408.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…f85bbacked Yes | 6c | 406$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdb…bc90backed Yes | 5c | 405.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 403.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f0…eb46backed Yes | 25c | 399.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?this page
- Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?No won
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No won
- Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No won
- Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?No won
- Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?No won
- Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?No won
- James Norton announced as next James Bond?No won
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes won
- Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?No won
- Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?No won
- Theo James announced as next James Bond?No won
- Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?No won
- Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.