TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75cf…a0b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Commodities, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordi Fernandez win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Tuomas Iisalo win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will Kenny Atkinson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Will Brian Keefe win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
Will Rick Carlisle win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Will Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will Willie Green win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Alex Caruso win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will Bilal Coulibaly win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will Keon Ellis win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.51
Will Jalen Suggs win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.03
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
James Norton announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.32
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.52
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Jon M. Chu win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.33
Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
Will Kleber Mendonça Filho win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.95
Will Park Chan-wook win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53.34
Will Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.2
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.31
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.22
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$39.17
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$31.38
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.78
Will House of the Dragon be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.09
Will Bridgerton be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.94
Will The Bear be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.64
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.22
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22.46
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.69
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.41
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.54
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.35
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.67
Russia coup attempt in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.64
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.67
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.15
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.75
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.56
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.26
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.49
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.08
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Patrik Laine win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Will Clayton Keller win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.92
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will the New York Islanders win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.36
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick5cpaid+101.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.24
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.87
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.