Middle East · resolved market
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1392be596898d55b5b123234812e0ba2838d3e3ee63f75eb39c96da77a9f3c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 63c | 15,039$9,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,579.24 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4960…7a11backed Yes | 43c | 13,921$6,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,006.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 38c | 13,482$5,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 75c | 9,061$6,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.2 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8e…df64backed Yes | 57c | 8,869$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 57c | 7,146$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.58 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 5,191$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.43 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 11c | 5,167$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.01 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked Yes | 39c | 4,100$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 79c | 4,022$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.89 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 45c | 3,632$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.11 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 50c | 3,324$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.59 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…2b6bbacked Yes | 39c | 3,215$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked No | 49c | 3,200$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.32 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 15c | 3,018$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.9 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 69c | 2,716$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.46 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 73c | 2,696$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.6 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9b…7285backed Yes | 5c | 2,525$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 61c | 2,509$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.32 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 3c | 2,331$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 58c | 2,253$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.51 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 38c | 2,233$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.42 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 19c | 2,125$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.63 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 15c | 2,096$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.78 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 77c | 2,060$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.83 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 63c | 2,006$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 51c | 1,974$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.12 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 33c | 1,968$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.99 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 55c | 1,953$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.81 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 31c | 1,873$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.77 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 46c | 1,872$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…3cadbacked Yes | 50c | 1,821$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Yes | 50c | 1,764$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 5c | 1,763$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 18c | 1,755$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.49 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 29c | 1,746$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.85 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 53c | 1,629$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.86 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 7c | 1,626$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 59c | 1,591$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.28 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…4bc0backed No | 65c | 1,563$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 1,548$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…2966backed No | 68c | 1,488$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Yes | 59c | 1,474$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked Yes | 28c | 1,448$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed Yes | 59c | 1,439$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 18c | 1,429$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.1 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9305…e605backed Yes | 49c | 1,371$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 18c | 1,332$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.24 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.38per pick | 14cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 33c | 1,227$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.6 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…0458backed Yes | 42c | 1,202$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…6bf8backed No | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,185$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.23 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 75c | 1,155$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.69 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 3c | 1,146$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 57c | 1,118$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.27 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 46c | 1,092$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 61c | 1,090$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.57 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 36c | 1,089$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.29 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 1,060$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.02 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | -17.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 16c | 1,054$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 32c | 1,050$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.09 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…ef53backed No | 60c | 983.89$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 19c | 959.44$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.02 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 63c | 953.2$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.07 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 76c | 937$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.65 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4393…849cbacked Yes | 35c | 899.14$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…d826backed No | 67c | 893.42$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.42 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed Yes | 42c | 827.02$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…c051backed Yes | 28c | 812.28$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 43c | 804.42$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.33 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed No | 54c | 800$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 48c | 797.68$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.26 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 57c | 779.99$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.39 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Yes | 38c | 774.29$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 33c | 702.53$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 14c | 700$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed Yes | 29c | 697.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…33c5backed Yes | 21c | 671.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…d077backed No | 69c | 664.06$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed Yes | 45c | 662.69$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…32cbbacked Yes | 53c | 651.32$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…d9aabacked Yes | 46c | 646.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…f22ebacked Yes | 54c | 644.31$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…4ae8backed Yes | 31c | 643.01$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed No | 68c | 626.65$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 61c | 615.29$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.41 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…57f7backed Yes | 27c | 611.04$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…f369backed Yes | 49c | 608.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes | 3c | 592.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d50…1baebacked Yes | 17c | 589.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 46c | 586.61$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.14 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11c2…6472backed Yes | 38c | 574.86$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 19c | 565.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 73c | 553.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe058…d73ebacked Yes | 18c | 549.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…5fadbacked Yes | 38c | 549.44$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?this page
- Will Austria recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes won
- Will Finland recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes won
- Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes won
- Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.