Middle East · resolved market
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60bf6c2d966e9f1e3a2931174f6f0125a73d37ce2ee6bbcd81342ee075d6363c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 75c | 10,720$8,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.25 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 11c | 9,950$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.25 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 8c | 9,493$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.44 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed Yes | 78c | 8,470$6,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 77c | 6,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed No | 12c | 5,705$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.31 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 5,532$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…2667backed No | 4c | 4,444$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 20c | 4,435$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.96 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 43c | 4,379$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.33 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed No | 4c | 4,318$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed No | 27c | 3,901$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 21c | 3,796$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.2 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…71e7backed No | 21c | 3,607$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.58 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…08fbbacked No | 17c | 3,507$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Yes | 77c | 3,079$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 76c | 2,980$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 30c | 2,962$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.92 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 9c | 2,800$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed No | 26c | 2,649$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.48 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…e70fbacked No | 10c | 2,505$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 25c | 2,418$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.34 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 74c | 2,377$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.62 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…833abacked No | 28c | 2,242$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a1…7b89backed No | 2c | 2,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 26c | 2,000$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…4cf4backed No | 26c | 1,741$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ed…bf70backed Yes | 76c | 1,702$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fb…9cf8backed Yes | 77c | 1,682$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 1c | 1,665$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…aaf0backed No | 27c | 1,644$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…bf81backed No | 23c | 1,522$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 23c | 1,411$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.28 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 13c | 1,400$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 74c | 1,370$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.68 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 73c | 1,311$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 15c | 1,310$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.79 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…b97bbacked No | 19c | 1,296$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 69c | 1,287$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.26 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 78c | 1,278$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.77 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…a40abacked No | 9c | 1,263$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 15c | 1,250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 36c | 1,241$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.08 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa767…08d3backed No | 5c | 1,217$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 9c | 1,208$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…b7e4backed No | 26c | 1,150$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…1502backed No | 26c | 1,145$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…098bbacked No | 2c | 1,129$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 19c | 1,031$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe898…769fbacked No | 7c | 1,020$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…0479backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 33c | 999.97$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…c4cfbacked No | 31c | 975.08$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed No | 3c | 884.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 75c | 858.51$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 70c | 856.43$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.06 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…549bbacked No | 23c | 855.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…cacabacked No | 6c | 828.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 823.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 72c | 812.79$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.69 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…d56abacked No | 2c | 756.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 22c | 711.88$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 11c | 707.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…c237backed No | 2c | 705.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 22c | 703.94$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…e151backed No | 28c | 702.77$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 22c | 700.17$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked No | 28c | 700$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 29c | 687.01$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…236cbacked No | 18c | 678.24$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a16…3be5backed No | 4c | 668.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…4910backed No | 3c | 641.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 19c | 639.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5e13backed No | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…0ffabacked No | 18c | 620.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eea…eb18backed No | 25c | 614.7$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 76c | 601.31$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 20c | 598.03$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…60f2backed No | 19c | 574.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…563bbacked No | 21c | 569.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…5631backed No | 20c | 564.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 26c | 541.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddde…2e88backed No | 20c | 534.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 22c | 532$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…b7afbacked No | 4c | 529.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…c63cbacked No | 23c | 511.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…5feebacked No | 25c | 510.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed No | 4c | 505.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…5c9dbacked No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed No | 19c | 500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…8783backed No | 24c | 499.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 74c | 483.33$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.83 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 21c | 469.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…3e46backed No | 23c | 469.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Yes | 65c | 459.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…a71fbacked No | 24c | 444.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…59e0backed No | 25c | 443.32$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…341dbacked No | 24c | 439.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030b…6254backed No | 23c | 427.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?this page
- Will Austria recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes won
- Will Finland recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes won
- Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.