Middle East · resolved market
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc33864b627355a80ffc177e9fb26f029c2343c5fff190b41b6e0f1b590797d72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $671,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $651,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $671,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 10c | 23,055$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.41 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 14c | 15,887$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.71 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 14c | 14,218$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.03 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 9c | 13,615$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.38 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 17c | 13,446$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.11 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 3c | 13,446$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.25 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 12c | 11,585$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.38 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 12c | 11,000$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.51 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…4cf4backed No | 12c | 9,795$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…3b94backed No | 11c | 9,281$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed No | 6c | 9,233$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 10c | 7,123$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.26 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…8257backed No | 1c | 7,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 38c | 6,701$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.59 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 8c | 6,438$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.24 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 5,844$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe898…769fbacked No | 2c | 5,390$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…4841backed No | 10c | 5,345$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.5 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…2667backed No | 5c | 4,705$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 10c | 4,417$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.7 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 6c | 4,222$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.59 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 9c | 4,106$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.15 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…71e7backed No | 13c | 4,068$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.61 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 11c | 4,053$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.2 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 9c | 4,037$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.94 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Yes | 79c | 4,018$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 11c | 3,553$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 11c | 3,374$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.17 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed No | 1c | 3,339$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 11c | 3,333$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.63 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed No | 14c | 3,212$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.26 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked No | 10c | 3,071$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…a779backed No | 10c | 3,026$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.07 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…5996backed No | 11c | 3,008$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…2cf5backed No | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 15c | 2,999$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.85 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 28c | 2,783$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.52 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d7…f714backed No | 3c | 2,679$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb204…fcdbbacked No | 6c | 2,573$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 79c | 2,569$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.04 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…4da7backed No | 10c | 2,350$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…bd87backed No | 1c | 2,310$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.03 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…08fbbacked No | 9c | 2,251$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 6c | 2,188$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 11c | 2,158$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…11afbacked Yes | 71c | 2,101$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed No | 6c | 2,060$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 20c | 2,020$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…5d20backed No | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 17c | 1,984$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.86 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed No | 4c | 1,856$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…77c3backed Yes | 24c | 1,811$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7069backed No | 15c | 1,738$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 11c | 1,645$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f9…eb40backed No | 16c | 1,634$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0763…1fb4backed No | 1c | 1,596$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked No | 13c | 1,559$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 57c | 1,549$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.73 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 8c | 1,548$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…41abbacked No | 15c | 1,513$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 10c | 1,469$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…b9f6backed No | 11c | 1,400$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…aa22backed No | 11c | 1,390$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 78c | 1,368$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.78 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…68cfbacked No | 14c | 1,335$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…60f2backed No | 8c | 1,333$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…bb41backed No | 10c | 1,333$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 18c | 1,332$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed No | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…f425backed No | 8c | 1,294$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 15c | 1,290$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +168.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…3c4ebacked No | 16c | 1,286$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 20c | 1,269$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.79 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked No | 3c | 1,250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…a9f5backed No | 10c | 1,220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,199$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…3f96backed No | 11c | 1,197$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c43…74a8backed No | 13c | 1,191$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…bf81backed No | 10c | 1,170$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 32c | 1,158$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.1 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 11c | 1,157$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 33c | 1,152$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.47 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 3c | 1,135$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…5631backed No | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0038…175abacked No | 1c | 1,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,090$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.46 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…eb95backed No | 14c | 1,080$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 9c | 1,065$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 1,060$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?this page
- Will Austria recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes won
- Will Finland recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes won
- Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.