Middle East · resolved market
Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a1f7bd753cf33903f4fdfc93e15a84700f1087dbb8330b0573911037c280cdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 23c | 13,132$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.09 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 9c | 12,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 12c | 7,467$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.5 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 75c | 6,000$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.99 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 69c | 3,097$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.4 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 35c | 2,972$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.34 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 70c | 2,900$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.81 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed Yes | 79c | 2,545$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 74c | 2,441$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.64 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed No | 39c | 2,343$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.27 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 22c | 2,009$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 16c | 1,847$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.55 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63eb…b0a1backed No | 28c | 1,454$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…45cdbacked No | 37c | 1,367$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 28c | 1,330$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.76 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 68c | 1,231$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…edefbacked No | 13c | 1,200$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed No | 37c | 1,095$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 18c | 1,081$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.67 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 77c | 1,045$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…bb41backed No | 32c | 1,018$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 15c | 1,009$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 62c | 823.53$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 4c | 819.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…6ce6backed No | 26c | 787.27$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.11 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed No | 27c | 768.58$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 18c | 754.89$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 18c | 619.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 7c | 599.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 21c | 586.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…2667backed No | 17c | 577.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…52f9backed No | 30c | 560.59$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 70c | 549.7$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.48 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…5631backed No | 19c | 533.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eea…eb18backed No | 33c | 428.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…b7e4backed No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed No | 25c | 402.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…bf81backed No | 28c | 392.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…a71fbacked No | 21c | 389.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed No | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff6…8289backed No | 32c | 326.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 19c | 300.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked No | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…a779backed No | 15c | 270$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed No | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 73c | 256.07$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda3…e971backed Yes | 72c | 254.62$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 40c | 249.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…0fcabacked No | 20c | 238.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…000dbacked No | 32c | 235.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 22c | 233.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…c0bcbacked No | 22c | 224.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed No | 29c | 220.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 40c | 210.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…71e7backed No | 27c | 210$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed No | 15c | 204.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…da6dbacked No | 26c | 177.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 15c | 172.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed Yes | 70c | 164.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…6ec7backed No | 31c | 158.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Yes | 75c | 155.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 28c | 153.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 71c | 139.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…9e18backed No | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 18c | 132.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 132.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ad…92abbacked No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212c…8e4abacked No | 27c | 121.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…1f9bbacked No | 27c | 120.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…b7afbacked No | 14c | 119.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked No | 16c | 114$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 22c | 110.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Yes | 71c | 109.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 67c | 106.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe097…d811backed No | 23c | 106.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…219dbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…0a3ebacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c1…3173backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…e242backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…a1fabacked Yes | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 29c | 96.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 74c | 96.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…1f17backed No | 24c | 84.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…edeabacked No | 24c | 83.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4834…c21fbacked No | 24c | 83.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked No | 32c | 83.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…3d6abacked Yes | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Yes | 66c | 69.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?this page
- Will Austria recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Finland recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes won
- Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes won
- Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.