TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcdc3…a71f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$7.07
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$9.09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$5.18
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38%+$10.65
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$10.33
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$7.2
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$10.29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.93
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+103.1%+$52.26
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+115.1%+$98.12
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.5%+$13.59
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.8%+$9.42
Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.58
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.4
Israel strike on Damascus by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.65
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.72
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$53.6
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+159.6%+$138.67
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.76
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$42
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$5.05
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46.44
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$18
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+318.5%+$66.97
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$39.35
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+109.8%+$142.03
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+27.3%+$6.64
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.19
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$212.22
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+117.1%+$25.06
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+139.1%+$20.23
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.44
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.95
OpenAI browser by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.1%+$13.66
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.81
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-51.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.73
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.65
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.37
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10.5
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.3%+$7.62
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.2%+$8.07
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.97
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.2%+$42.14
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$179.54
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+73.5%+$17.2
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.5
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.9
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.73
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.05
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$50.34
Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
US military action against Iran before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.68
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.45
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.74
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2114.3%3 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.39
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.32
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$411.67
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.57
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+162.9%+$35.32
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+256.2%+$109.33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.64
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.06
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+44.6%+$8.02
More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.86
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.98
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.59
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.2
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.6
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+378.5%+$67.49
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.97
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Erling Haaland be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.72
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+90.5%+$9.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$34.98
Will Alexander Isak be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.83
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63%+$12.37
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick19cpaid-24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-63.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-64.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+672.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FalleN retire by June 1? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+1,444.7%+$187.88
Will Team Falcons win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$4.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$15.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Man I Need by Olivia Dean be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok banned in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$65.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.