TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$302,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes0c25,489$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.55837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick22cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8da6…ce20backed Yes1c9,817$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8b…a018backed Yes20c9,800$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3525…b0c1backed Yes0c9,500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c6,317$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf040…3a86backed Yes0c5,536$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes18c4,890$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.261926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes21c3,743$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1513752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade9…954abacked No80c3,600$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…ce30backed No80c3,500$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes16c3,338$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.855635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…74f8backed Yes4c3,283$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes18c3,087$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.72744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c2,729$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.553218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaef1…9d23backed No80c2,700$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes11c2,601$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae2…e767backed Yes5c2,531$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes9c2,468$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.261735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes13c1,898$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.523354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes14c1,827$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.832133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes8c1,704$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.74825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+93%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35e…c46fbacked Yes9c1,607$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes19c1,598$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.242638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cd2…ca85backed Yes4c1,561$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes3c1,541$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac5…d435backed Yes10c1,540$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes13c1,500$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.95333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd23b…2cf5backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes20c1,414$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa318…0c71backed Yes16c1,399$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.21540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes8c1,388$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.542035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes9c1,384$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8610451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ca…9a43backed Yes1c1,297$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes1c1,245$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes21c1,103$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca3…90c2backed Yes20c1,067$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes15c1,052$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.16850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x902d…2f7dbacked Yes16c1,020$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes12c1,013$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.514522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2672…ea33backed Yes10c1,000$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes8c951.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.341225%3 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+93%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes12c888.91$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes10c842.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…4d9dbacked Yes8c837.64$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.81464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe13b…9f42backed Yes2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes13c782.74$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.761060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12a4…4b0bbacked Yes10c779.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes12c706.25$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…009dbacked Yes10c694.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.451323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b2…5548backed Yes9c692.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ed…a5ecbacked Yes15c687.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3c…9b67backed Yes8c672.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f3c…d6ddbacked Yes18c613.84$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes6c600$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf63e…d3afbacked Yes7c599.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5018…398bbacked Yes13c594.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes12c591.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.972227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes17c574.88$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.96633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58fb…6c8dbacked Yes21c571.29$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No76c565.92$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.256055%33 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes9c564.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.544845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23cb…70f2backed Yes17c513.89$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-52.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes2c497.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeafc…38ddbacked Yes16c478.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e3…b0e8backed Yes23c435.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…9a45backed Yes10c434.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.821428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…5269backed Yes10c429.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes5c423.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.61911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes19c416.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158e…a3b7backed Yes10c413.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes12c408.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0295…2d19backed Yes5c400.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes9c378.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.082166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5bbb…969fbacked Yes16c378.58$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…b9c7backed Yes16c377.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc3…a71fbacked Yes13c374.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick19cpaid-24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes15c363.12$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.731637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05cd…0291backed Yes19c343.79$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc98…eae2backed Yes20c342.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf573…5910backed Yes12c339.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+92.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb350…bfb8backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…2857backed Yes15c327.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes19c304.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8424939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa13a…1621backed Yes10c299.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c6…5c6dbacked Yes23c292.81$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf779…d36fbacked Yes16c289.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+110%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e8…e840backed Yes21c289.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.99850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes9c288.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.349627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae09…6a64backed Yes11c282.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes12c275$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes7c266.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.946737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7543…e831backed Yes8c255.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes18c250$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.073330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes7c249.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.582619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes19c247.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.063158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes22c243.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes7c242$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed49…0b7fbacked Yes15c240$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x628e…a488backed Yes8c236.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.