TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,024 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c14,996$118 inLost-$117.74522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes2c2,367$45 inLost-$44.569440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,240$12 inLost-$11.643218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c1,286$13 inLost-$12.73100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc3…a71fbacked Yes2c1,001$24 inLost-$23.99728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick19cpaid-24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba7…9b4dbacked Yes2c756.32$14 inLost-$14.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes3c612.65$18 inLost-$17.86633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ace…98e6backed Yes4c500.63$20 inLost-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.