TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$664,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$617,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $664,587 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes0c15,654$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick22cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5910…81dabacked Yes1c10,710$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7150…4ca8backed Yes1c10,710$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3525…b0c1backed Yes2c7,440$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes20c7,386$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.19812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes2c6,197$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes1c5,544$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.21911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes22c4,898$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.111926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes7c4,591$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.634522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f5f…c128backed Yes29c4,458$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c3,790$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.443218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes18c3,359$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.711330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb86…1dc5backed No78c3,316$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3b…9902backed Yes29c3,190$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes5c2,945$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.519627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes11c2,899$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes5c2,871$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.47825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+93%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e7…63e6backed Yes25c2,854$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6612…aa99backed No72c2,823$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes1c2,791$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0b…36e5backed Yes0c2,750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8b…a018backed Yes19c2,750$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d9…4f8abacked No70c2,700$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aae…4599backed Yes2c2,572$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c7…b6b3backed Yes27c2,557$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No79c2,552$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e9…5c13backed No71c2,546$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1da3…15c5backed Yes29c2,540$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e0…c44abacked No76c2,459$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes41c2,442$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-77%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes4c2,257$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0528…87cbbacked Yes29c2,115$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes1c2,069$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x399b…e771backed Yes27c2,058$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b98…6e72backed Yes27c2,031$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Yes20c2,024$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac5…d435backed Yes8c2,004$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d6…1759backed Yes24c1,950$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7546…a762backed No72c1,923$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f9…8f32backed Yes29c1,904$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd08…e0a5backed Yes29c1,884$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c61…6f9ebacked No70c1,883$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc030…79e2backed No72c1,873$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…74f8backed Yes6c1,856$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2c…8cdabacked Yes29c1,847$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes4c1,828$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.861735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2879…8bbebacked No78c1,803$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x968c…2c91backed No74c1,755$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Yes23c1,702$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3991346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad8…f124backed Yes3c1,701$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aef…8bdbbacked Yes2c1,700$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293d…9a7dbacked Yes3c1,681$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedcc…4928backed Yes26c1,678$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe853…58cbbacked Yes3c1,641$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ce…0509backed No74c1,632$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35bb…7281backed Yes2c1,629$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd701…55c3backed Yes33c1,596$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes23c1,542$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.312638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf57…b363backed No71c1,516$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34de…971ebacked Yes27c1,472$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e2…d3a1backed No70c1,422$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes46c1,407$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.6213752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ee…7127backed No78c1,373$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…b8f1backed Yes4c1,366$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71de…67c9backed No71c1,334$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b2…73c4backed No71c1,329$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb528…54cbbacked Yes29c1,315$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…b5ebbacked No72c1,298$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b4…bae5backed No71c1,283$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d1…66e4backed No72c1,278$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9569…5633backed No72c1,266$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c6f…c79dbacked No73c1,266$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…6bdbbacked Yes25c1,261$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1905…1a66backed No72c1,246$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes6c1,245$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…3931backed Yes29c1,238$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1560…1279backed Yes2c1,216$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa318…0c71backed Yes13c1,198$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.14540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x372d…cb5cbacked Yes24c1,172$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5542…0207backed Yes9c1,163$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a4…627bbacked Yes28c1,128$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…adccbacked No77c1,032$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca3…90c2backed Yes22c1,031$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17c0…c49bbacked Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666c…8d18backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…2decbacked No78c948$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ace…98e6backed Yes37c937.64$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.06520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe66f…cef4backed No77c927$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1d…f1a8backed Yes22c916.09$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes35c913.95$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes36c898.1$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.321050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6073…02c4backed Yes27c892$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed No69c886.29$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6a…7388backed Yes9c880$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe08e…9d2fbacked Yes26c852$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58fb…6c8dbacked Yes16c822.21$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes37c811.66$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c30…7673backed Yes18c800$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-74.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes11c799.74$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.973330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…9a45backed Yes15c798.15$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.151428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.