TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,679 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e33…1482backed Yes7c14,623$1,080 inLost-$1,080.36812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5299…9d12backed Yes0c10,645$43 inLost-$42.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d65…8801backed Yes1c10,645$53 inLost-$53.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes8c9,228$723 inLost-$723.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes6c7,302$447 inLost-$446.974522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf779…d36fbacked Yes1c5,136$62 inLost-$61.77825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+110%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes6c3,534$227 inLost-$226.992638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8646…ed78backed Yes1c3,011$18 inLost-$18.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc966…c2d0backed Yes1c2,336$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c2,212$12 inLost-$12.0630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc2…b707backed Yes3c2,083$60 inLost-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd1…7af0backed Yes9c2,000$178 inLost-$17820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe660…9ac6backed Yes13c2,000$254 inLost-$25410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c1,953$141 inLost-$141.123218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes2c1,917$35 inLost-$35.269627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8202…10f5backed Yes13c1,605$208 inLost-$207.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes15c1,555$239 inLost-$239.324939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes4c1,486$56 inLost-$56.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Yes6c1,355$75 inLost-$752030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes13c1,251$165 inLost-$164.51933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9359…f2c1backed Yes3c1,201$41 inLost-$40.59714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-81.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15c1…0914backed Yes7c1,054$76 inLost-$76.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2c…1494backed Yes4c871.54$37 inLost-$36.9740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ca7…4d26backed Yes12c866.08$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555f…012bbacked Yes7c729.94$54 inLost-$53.941435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes7c689.95$51 inLost-$50.8214742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes4c651.52$26 inLost-$25.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes2c517.84$11 inLost-$11.361225%3 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+93%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf2…e87dbacked Yes15c385.97$57 inLost-$57366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+107.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf46…3083backed Yes13c385.71$50 inLost-$50.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc3…a71fbacked Yes7c377.8$28 inLost-$27.66728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick19cpaid-24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes11c300$33 inLost-$32.7728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes8c255.14$19 inLost-$19.52646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4921…6f6cbacked Yes9c228.09$20 inLost-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-75.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9421…025ebacked Yes7c202.65$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bf…0787backed Yes8c165.88$13 inLost-$13.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffa8…a398backed Yes8c165.57$14 inLost-$13.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes7c163.76$11 inLost-$10.836737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42e2…4d16backed Yes9c163.33$14 inLost-$14.19540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9a…2e7bbacked Yes6c156.38$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes8c139.03$11 inLost-$112420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$10.122133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe250…bd6abacked Yes14c108.32$15 inLost-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost-$10.92536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.