TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9359…f2c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.01
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.82
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.02
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+180.1%+$26.15
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.27
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+191.2%+$373.82
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+102.1%+$14.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54.07
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.63
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40.41
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$47.87
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-81.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+43.4%+$10.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.4%+$11.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$56.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.