South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-01-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69a9292c0618ee920bd0c510bfdcf29b0bd529565431e86ef1db1e685e55b933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,756$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 1,904$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.7 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Yes | 8c | 800$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 40c | 790.03$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 10c | 690.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 586.04$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.58 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 39c | 512.8$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 468.12$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 9c | 448.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 26c | 343$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.82 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 38c | 260.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 39c | 260.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 39c | 233.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 40c | 212.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 210.33$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 26c | 172$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 63c | 171.4$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 37c | 171.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 12c | 167.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…b7cdbacked Yes | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 40c | 135.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 13c | 127.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 63c | 127.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 42c | 127.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 28c | 119.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 71c | 103.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 10c | 101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 44c | 91.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 75c | 81.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 14c | 79.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0173…0216backed Yes | 32c | 78.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 30c | 72.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 39c | 70.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…ff26backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 37c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…f2c1backed Yes | 51c | 48.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 46.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 41c | 42.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 66c | 41.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked No | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Yes | 75c | 39.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 37.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed Yes | 38c | 35.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5786…c49dbacked Yes | 40c | 33.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…49d0backed Yes | 40c | 33.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…fd13backed Yes | 40c | 32.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 65c | 32.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…240bbacked Yes | 44c | 31.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 38c | 30.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Yes | 71c | 30.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…462fbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…7684backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…045bbacked Yes | 44c | 29.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Yes | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…f28fbacked No | 57c | 24.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5946…027bbacked No | 62c | 23.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48eb…8ec4backed No | 57c | 23.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…4cacbacked No | 62c | 23.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…d9ffbacked Yes | 62c | 22.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Yes | 58c | 20.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c9…d6aabacked No | 57c | 19.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea8…ffedbacked No | 62c | 19.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 74c | 19.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…9a08backed No | 62c | 18.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…93ccbacked No | 62c | 17.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-01-23?this page
- Will CA Independiente vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-01-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.