South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-01-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f6c23b6c8c143af40af3d020f05082fc003be8c4d52df4604969f134796854c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,631$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,349$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,166$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.6 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 27c | 1,142$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.06 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,050$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Yes | 21c | 850$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 616.38$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 7c | 499.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 6c | 450$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 25c | 413.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 72c | 404.21$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 28c | 369$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 7c | 310.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes | 6c | 240$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 184.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 147.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 34c | 72.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 43c | 70.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 42c | 66.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f0…b011backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf214…4413backed Yes | 28c | 59.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…d034backed Yes | 27c | 55.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd931…ae99backed Yes | 27c | 52.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea8…ffedbacked Yes | 27c | 48.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…1921backed Yes | 28c | 44.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 44.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…7953backed Yes | 25c | 43.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 64c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 79c | 30.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…f2c1backed Yes | 41c | 29.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes | 52c | 28.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 22.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…0558backed No | 74c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…2517backed No | 76c | 18.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…7133backed No | 74c | 17.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…640ebacked No | 74c | 17.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…acebbacked No | 75c | 17.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…e009backed No | 74c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585d…d19ebacked No | 74c | 17.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…b3a8backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…0800backed No | 74c | 16.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…aae8backed No | 79c | 15.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…9a08backed No | 74c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…f513backed No | 76c | 15.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…67b5backed No | 74c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…bb62backed No | 73c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 72c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-01-23?this page
- Will CA Independiente vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-01-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.