TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3265…d5b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
522
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT13043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,031.56
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.54
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.31
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$147.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$598
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$46.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+65%+$70.91
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.49
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$931.92
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+148.5%+$1,045.71
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.47
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,643Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$756.66
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,008.49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$805.43
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,523.13
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,891Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.8%+$1,035.96
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$785.42
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$118.6
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,307Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+34%+$444.49
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,985Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+67.1%+$1,332.4
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT7147.9%34 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030.75
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,901.58
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$900
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.72
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.65
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.83
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.65
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.15
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.58
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.15
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,883.93
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.18
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,066.9
Panama vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Panama vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.2
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$71.92
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+157.3%+$1,571.6
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,594Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$1,770.16
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,591.69
France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.99
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT6750.7%34 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$992.98
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.29
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$383
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$31.82
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$82.99
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25%+$6
Stars vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Stars vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+27.8%+$99.32
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$639.25
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+65.2%+$543.64
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$955.78
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$67.82
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$248.15
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+73.9%+$424.96
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$315.06
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,427Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.5%+$420.47
Blues vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$391
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.11
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+65.1%+$262.87
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.4%+$360.54
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT5942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$126
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.62
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.27
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+226.7%+$416.33
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.2%+$147.22
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50.24
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+254.5%+$356.29
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+84.2%+$407.43
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$62.76
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$219.99
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$278.3
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+117.9%+$208.12
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$295
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,598.96
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$129.5
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$692
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$995.55
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$403.69
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$165.37
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+95%+$101.96
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST270%0 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.84
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.74
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$108.91
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.78
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.1
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.44
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$85.83
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26.47
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$54.43
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.9
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-99 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$105.65
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.07
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.55
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.17
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,060
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,022.26
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.14
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.01
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$65.23
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.25
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$559.99
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$390
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200.59
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+1,777.6%+$426.02
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$300
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$66.94
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,772.86
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,080
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$435.5
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+156.1%+$541.62
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$41
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104%+$513.6
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.5
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$406
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$392.16
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$69.95
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$38
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.85
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$419.93
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.54
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.03
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$239.99
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$481.99
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.99
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.5
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,615Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$1,544.99
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500.96
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$403.85
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$554.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$474
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.19
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.58
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.49
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$734.13
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$341
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.37
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49.17
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$34
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$953.84
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+64.3%+$688.2
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$139.02
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+64.5%+$278.23
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$389.4
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,001.1
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$52.56
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$95.03
LoL: paiN Gaming vs LOUD (BO1)backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+162.2%+$355.16
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$307.91
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$46.5
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,405Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+398.2%+$5,594.98
Patriots Team Total: O/U 29.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.27
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$155
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$548.7
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$997.49
Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H Moneylinebacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$40.2
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$790
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,459.22
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$730
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$536.69
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$539
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,707Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+90.2%+$4,245.02
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$389.2
Texans vs. Steelers: 1H Moneylinebacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$391.33
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$61.82
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$894.6
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$4,631.42
Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H Moneylinebacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.67
All 24 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+195.5%+$942.35
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,566.9
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.28
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$105.31
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$513.88
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$589.27
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,827Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+57.4%+$1,049.52
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,436.6
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.3%+$230.41
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$177.89
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$759.96
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+185.7%+$325
Valorant: 9z Team vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$296.86
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.1%+$262.88
Valorant: GIANTX vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.29
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.35
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.6
CA Independiente vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.04
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$73.09
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.12
Will Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.6
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$182.61
Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)backed CF Monterrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.6
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.25
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$179
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will CA Platense win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$535
Will CA Unión vs. CA Platense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+82.3%+$1,840.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-62.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,450.75
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,240.62
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.36
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+400%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$280
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$262.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,016
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.