Euroleague · resolved market
Panathinaikos vs. Virtus Bologna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f35e4744b453572dd19b78ff25b9ba710434de6711936e7c78c13144fd1b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof Panathinaikos, Virtus Bologna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virtus Bologna | 20c | 4,312$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.97 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Panathinaikos | 79c | 2,379$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.97 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…a0fdbacked Virtus Bologna | 27c | 2,100$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virtus Bologna | 20c | 1,984$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.71 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panathinaikos | 77c | 1,942$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.76 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Virtus Bologna | 17c | 1,398$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Panathinaikos | 79c | 1,395$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.35 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus Bologna | 16c | 1,341$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.05 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Panathinaikos | 76c | 1,194$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Virtus Bologna | 17c | 884.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Virtus Bologna | 22c | 731.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Virtus Bologna | 14c | 653.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virtus Bologna | 23c | 582.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Virtus Bologna | 22c | 500.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Virtus Bologna | 19c | 488$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Virtus Bologna | 20c | 465.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…5e2dbacked Virtus Bologna | 18c | 397.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Virtus Bologna | 13c | 334.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Panathinaikos | 72c | 331.4$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Virtus Bologna | 25c | 290.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…d430backed Virtus Bologna | 9c | 278.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Virtus Bologna | 19c | 276.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Virtus Bologna | 28c | 199.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Virtus Bologna | 15c | 197.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Virtus Bologna | 12c | 168.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 166.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus Bologna | 19c | 165.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Virtus Bologna | 13c | 159$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Virtus Bologna | 16c | 148.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Panathinaikos | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Panathinaikos | 77c | 138.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Virtus Bologna | 18c | 129.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Panathinaikos | 75c | 126.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Virtus Bologna | 17c | 124.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Virtus Bologna | 27c | 124$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Virtus Bologna | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Panathinaikos | 74c | 86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Panathinaikos | 74c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Panathinaikos | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Panathinaikos | 76c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Panathinaikos | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Panathinaikos | 75c | 64.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Panathinaikos | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Panathinaikos | 79c | 57.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 53.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Virtus Bologna | 22c | 51.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Panathinaikos | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Panathinaikos | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Panathinaikos | 74c | 45.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…9f29backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 23.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Panathinaikos | 73c | 20.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Panathinaikos | 75c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Panathinaikos | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Panathinaikos | 74c | 17.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.