TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa48e…b476

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
381
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Music at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT17439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
US Open, Qualification WTA: Greet Minnen vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Jeline Vandromme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Timofeevabacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Cancun: Moise Kouame vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Cancun: Vit Kopriva vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Cancun: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Quebec City: Kyrian Jacquet vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Cincinnati Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Xiyu Wangbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zhengbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT8555.3%47 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81%+$16.2
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$40.41
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.12
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.69
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$281.77
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.31
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$28.1
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$125
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+488.2%+$488.24
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$281.11
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$268.89
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$224
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.64
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+54%+$107.97
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+497.2%+$6,862.07
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.11
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$52.4
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$118.39
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+34.3%+$270.83
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$121.5
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$137
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13
VOOI FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,728.97
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+155.4%+$388.56
Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$303.21
Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$135.55
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$525
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$115.93
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$79.66
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$82.98
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joventut vs. Valenciabacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventutbacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
Joventut vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$119.69
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$116.88
Monaco vs. Barcelonabacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$78.67
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$51.29
Monaco vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
Panathinaikos vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Fenerbahce vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Barcelona vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Monaco vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,100
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,014
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,840
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$528
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$620.45
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$952
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,006
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$2,342.08
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,484.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+61.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Utah vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$327.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$80.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.