MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77c18dfd1b1115198a60a08fba21a5c225e1279eed4343857d16eb2e172d8dde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof San Diego Padres, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 39,854$13,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,281.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked New York Mets | 57c | 34,232$19,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,879.94 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed New York Mets | 65c | 27,700$18,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,646 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 38c | 24,598$9,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,397.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed New York Mets | 70c | 22,367$15,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,638.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 21,331$10,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,025.43 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 16,655$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked New York Mets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.92 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked New York Mets | 64c | 9,600$6,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,488.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 53c | 9,080$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.65 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…235cbacked New York Mets | 54c | 8,128$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 8,060$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.37 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 7,940$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 64c | 7,883$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.11 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Mets | 65c | 7,169$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.23 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 5,577$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 70c | 4,783$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 4,517$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.49 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 4,259$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.91 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Mets | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x739f…e091backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 3,100$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 2,992$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.33 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 65c | 2,936$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.08 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 2,497$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.55 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 2,485$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.04 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 2,448$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.08 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 2,341$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.21 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed New York Mets | 65c | 2,312$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.13 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,242$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.51 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 2,123$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.59 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,650$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +61%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 1,592$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.77 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…6bd4backed New York Mets | 64c | 1,371$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,168$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.55 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked New York Mets | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,036$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.85 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,004$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,002$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 888$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.48 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 839.74$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.36 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Mets | 69c | 818.24$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.24 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Mets | 63c | 794.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.43 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 662.97$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.15 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 659.95$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.79 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 656.73$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked New York Mets | 57c | 650$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 625$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.79 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 587.4$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…b7c1backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 542.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 542$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Mets | 52c | 523.53$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.29 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 485.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 436.84$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…5e36backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed New York Mets | 78c | 382$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 334.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 324$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Mets | 62c | 323.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 307.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.57 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed New York Mets | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked San Diego Padres | 38c | 284.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 280$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 270$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed New York Mets | 79c | 262.94$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed New York Mets | 67c | 228.72$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 224$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 223.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 219.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked San Diego Padres | 29c | 217.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 217.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 214.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 212.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 212.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 208.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 208.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 203.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 200.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed New York Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…97c5backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked New York Mets | 64c | 189.48$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked New York Mets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked New York Mets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked New York Mets | 63c | 183$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked New York Mets | 63c | 183$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 68c | 170.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Diego Padres | 23c | 163.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.