Tennis · resolved market
Cancun: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Moise Kouame
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x286a338da4882b94af71792cd120812eb84b0180a7e553b347aeeec1886d4be0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moise Kouameof Felipe Meligeni Alves, Moise Kouame
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 4c | 23,560$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 12c | 2,461$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.16 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 10c | 2,300$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 13c | 1,670$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.01 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 10c | 674.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 14c | 640.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 46c | 599.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.63 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Moise Kouame | 53c | 515.29$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.19 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 9c | 510.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 17c | 339.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 47c | 330.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 11c | 324.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 11c | 298.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Moise Kouame | 54c | 270$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Moise Kouame | 53c | 220.3$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Moise Kouame | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 35c | 189.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Moise Kouame | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…8ef4backed Moise Kouame | 54c | 181.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 8c | 155.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Moise Kouame | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0a41backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 15c | 121.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 46c | 120.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 16c | 108$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 337 | 54%182 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 46c | 105.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Moise Kouame | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Moise Kouame | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Moise Kouame | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 46c | 82.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 15c | 82.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 29c | 51.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Moise Kouame | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 47c | 35.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Felipe Meligeni Alves | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Felipe Meligeni Alves | 46c | 28.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Moise Kouame | 72c | 27.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Moise Kouame | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.