TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xecc5…5fde

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
305
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT22442.9%96 W · 128 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 224 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs Michael Geertsbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Augsburg: Raphael Perot vs Mika Brunoldbacked Raphael Perot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenzabacked Luca Potenza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Nicolas Ulrich vs Laurin Aernebacked Laurin Aerne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.99
Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Haruka Kaji vs Amandine Hessebacked Haruka Kaji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$45.6
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
US Open, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broadybacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+221.3%+$783.5
Roehampton 2: Billy Blaydes vs Matteo Martineaubacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$108
Roehampton 2: Ivan Ivanov vs Ryan Penistonbacked Ryan Peniston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.2
Roehampton 2: Lui Maxted vs Anton Sheppbacked Anton Shepp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US Open, Qualification ATP: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kayla Day vs Julieta Parejabacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Roehampton 2: Mark Ceban vs Michele Ribecaibacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$136
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferrobacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damasbacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+198.6%+$99.29
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Matthew William Donald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Winston-Salem Open: Francisco Comesana vs Yibing Wubacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$89.6
Winston-Salem Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Hugo Grenier vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Hugo Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Augsburg: Liam Gavrielides vs Matyas Fuelebacked Matyas Fuele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Timofeevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
Showing 25 of 224 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4325.6%11 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+450.8%+$577
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$164.45
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$652.89
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,462Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$704.68
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$36.83
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$181.33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+52%+$35.56
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,125
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$179.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.5
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$293.99
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$246.5
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+206.4%+$825.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,888.02
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31,085Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16,013.45
All 4 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.