TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Benjamin Hassan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Benjamin Hassanof Matthew William Donald, Benjamin Hassan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Matthew William Donald45c52,792$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,00073239.5%289 W · 443 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Benjamin Hassan56c36,518$20,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,942.498,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fb…d07cbacked Matthew William Donald9c11,133$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.9150%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed Benjamin Hassan65c9,302$6,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,255.684156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Matthew William Donald64c7,920$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,068.961,25756.6%711 W · 546 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Matthew William Donald17c4,766$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.8611,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Benjamin Hassan41c4,707$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.3271329.7%212 W · 501 L-39.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Matthew William Donald42c4,327$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004835.4%17 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Benjamin Hassan55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.999948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Benjamin Hassan55c3,656$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.410757.9%62 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Matthew William Donald39c3,136$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.036,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matthew William Donald38c2,457$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.668,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Matthew William Donald41c2,073$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85069141.1%284 W · 407 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Benjamin Hassan77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Benjamin Hassan51c1,959$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.1422352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Matthew William Donald1c1,955$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5579249.1%389 W · 403 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Matthew William Donald42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80037557.6%216 W · 159 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Benjamin Hassan78c1,813$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.651,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Benjamin Hassan54c1,755$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.5780558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Benjamin Hassan76c1,627$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.024,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Benjamin Hassan60c1,583$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3331052.9%164 W · 146 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa868…4659backed Benjamin Hassan57c1,477$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x805f…54a4backed Benjamin Hassan57c1,367$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.723751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Matthew William Donald4c1,205$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.68810.2%9 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Matthew William Donald8c1,107$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9322020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Matthew William Donald29c1,048$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6734145.2%154 W · 187 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Matthew William Donald7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Benjamin Hassan51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Matthew William Donald62c961.29$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59644950.8%228 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Benjamin Hassan73c956.61$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.812,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Matthew William Donald49c799.99$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3921,09052.6%573 W · 517 L-4.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Benjamin Hassan57c759.65$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6561857.8%357 W · 261 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Matthew William Donald56c664.99$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.335545.4%161 W · 194 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Matthew William Donald36c661.21$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.330525.9%79 W · 226 L-28.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Benjamin Hassan65c583.09$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0451344.4%228 W · 285 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Matthew William Donald5c566.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.318,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Benjamin Hassan76c536.9$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8764753.9%349 W · 298 L+32.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Benjamin Hassan58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2427655.1%152 W · 124 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Matthew William Donald6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045251.5%233 W · 219 L-21.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Matthew William Donald50c491.31$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.864,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c38…1bfabacked Matthew William Donald60c455$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2734346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Benjamin Hassan55c444.46$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.524,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Benjamin Hassan57c411.35$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.881,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Matthew William Donald47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1889,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Matthew William Donald43c398.35$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6825042.4%106 W · 144 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Matthew William Donald24c396.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1630042.3%127 W · 173 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Matthew William Donald6c372.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.673,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fd…104cbacked Benjamin Hassan49c355.4$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.429652.4%155 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Matthew William Donald35c338.4$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4435153.8%189 W · 162 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7079…58e8backed Benjamin Hassan56c331.35$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6913547.4%64 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Matthew William Donald35c331.2$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9222951.1%117 W · 112 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Matthew William Donald35c319.89$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9649957.5%287 W · 212 L+29.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Matthew William Donald35c315.77$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5241554.7%227 W · 188 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Matthew William Donald35c315.49$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6231952%166 W · 153 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Matthew William Donald35c312.69$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4447858.4%279 W · 199 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Matthew William Donald35c312.69$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4428454.2%154 W · 130 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Matthew William Donald49c307.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022442.9%96 W · 128 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Matthew William Donald35c306.51$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2851757.4%297 W · 220 L+31.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Matthew William Donald31c305.28$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.231,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Benjamin Hassan40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18053044.9%238 W · 292 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Matthew William Donald30c300$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf889…c9fbbacked Matthew William Donald17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Benjamin Hassan50c289.7$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.852,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Matthew William Donald35c285.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0845457%259 W · 195 L+27.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Matthew William Donald7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036744.4%163 W · 204 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Benjamin Hassan42c284.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1734854%188 W · 160 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe366…6de2backed Matthew William Donald60c278$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.84650%23 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2f…5e19backed Matthew William Donald40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1810761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Benjamin Hassan59c247.13$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1336342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Matthew William Donald46c246$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1638047.1%179 W · 201 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Matthew William Donald31c242.76$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7373738.8%286 W · 451 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Benjamin Hassan59c236.86$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.866938.9%260 W · 409 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Benjamin Hassan49c229.21$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.632,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab70…774cbacked Benjamin Hassan45c225.49$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0216957.4%97 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Matthew William Donald45c225$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.254,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Benjamin Hassan53c224$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2835347.9%169 W · 184 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Matthew William Donald44c223.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.321,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aab…c4ddbacked Matthew William Donald55c199.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.992560%15 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Matthew William Donald6c198.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.572,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Benjamin Hassan42c195.2$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.211,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Matthew William Donald27c175.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483050%15 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed Matthew William Donald40c164.15$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.663540%14 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Matthew William Donald37c163$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.315450%27 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d9…4968backed Benjamin Hassan57c159.65$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6512641.3%52 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Matthew William Donald13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019526.2%51 W · 144 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Matthew William Donald44c144.4$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Matthew William Donald27c142.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6459738.2%228 W · 369 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Matthew William Donald41c119$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.382,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Matthew William Donald45c117.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6410532.4%34 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1903…f674backed Matthew William Donald42c112.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Matthew William Donald41c111.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7913822.5%31 W · 107 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Benjamin Hassan55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0923846.2%110 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Matthew William Donald46c107.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Matthew William Donald44c105.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.31,06652.4%559 W · 507 L+30.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Benjamin Hassan59c105.84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.181,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Benjamin Hassan57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4344446.2%205 W · 239 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Matthew William Donald45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Benjamin Hassan55c95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7520552.7%108 W · 97 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc7…268dbacked Benjamin Hassan55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Benjamin Hassan57c90.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8228554.7%156 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.