TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fc7…268d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4355.8%24 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$94.29
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$237.48
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$95.67
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France to score first vs. Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$113.73
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain to score first vs. Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$98.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$54.85
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4050%20 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51.2
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+57.6%+$57.57
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damasbacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.66
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Anton Arzhankin vs Kristijan Juhasbacked Anton Arzhankin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$78.33
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Marie Mettrauxbacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$84.99
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Tommaso Compagnucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$87.29
Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
Prague: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Oleksii Krutykhbacked Oleksii Krutykh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Prague: Jakub Paul vs Rudolf Mollekerbacked Rudolf Molleker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+168.6%+$50.58
ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Haruna Arakawa vs Ha Eum Leebacked Haruna Arakawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$96.42
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Gijs Brouwerbacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mariia Masiianskaia vs Maria Herazobacked Maria Herazo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Varvara Panshina vs Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybasbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$34.12
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowskabacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
ITF Poprad: David Bakonyi vs Jan Klimasbacked David Bakonyi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$58.91
ITF Aldershot: Rina Saigo vs Adithya Karunaratnebacked Rina Saigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki Erelbacked Yanki Erel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lankabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorganbacked Somerset · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.68
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$44.67
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: Canada vs UAE (Game 1)backed UAE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+52.7%+$52.73
International T20 Series: Pakistan vs Australia (Game 3)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
International T20 Series: Pakistan vs Australia (Game 2)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game Semi Finals)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+87.5%+$87.48
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Stars (Game Eliminator)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Adelaide Strikers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+59.2%+$59.25
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+68.3%+$68.25
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+99.7%+$199.39
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$86.28
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.97
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.6%+$108.57
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Houston vs. Baylorbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+34.7%+$70.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.