Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c65a76be8ab8541e6a0ac666c0a2e7d6a2f51449ca0c1e2dfa7e62cb7cb30c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sydney Sixersof Brisbane Heat, Sydney Sixers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Sydney Sixers | 38c | 3,967$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.13 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Brisbane Heat | 43c | 3,254$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.19 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Brisbane Heat | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Sydney Sixers | 57c | 1,732$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.16 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Brisbane Heat | 17c | 1,011$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Sydney Sixers | 77c | 934.43$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Brisbane Heat | 33c | 660.9$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sydney Sixers | 58c | 574.22$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.11 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Brisbane Heat | 44c | 567.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.61 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Sydney Sixers | 70c | 495.44$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.76 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Sydney Sixers | 64c | 476.16$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Brisbane Heat | 39c | 439.59$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Sydney Sixers | 74c | 435.05$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Brisbane Heat | 35c | 431.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…be65backed Brisbane Heat | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Brisbane Heat | 26c | 380$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Brisbane Heat | 15c | 372$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Brisbane Heat | 14c | 350$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Brisbane Heat | 37c | 339.29$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.03 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…c403backed Brisbane Heat | 25c | 318.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…2676backed Brisbane Heat | 20c | 314.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Brisbane Heat | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Brisbane Heat | 27c | 285.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Sydney Sixers | 69c | 250.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Brisbane Heat | 23c | 241$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Sydney Sixers | 64c | 232.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Sydney Sixers | 58c | 206.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5535…81b4backed Sydney Sixers | 72c | 190$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…35c3backed Sydney Sixers | 80c | 181.74$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Sydney Sixers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Brisbane Heat | 16c | 175$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Brisbane Heat | 24c | 170$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Brisbane Heat | 17c | 160.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brisbane Heat | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Brisbane Heat | 23c | 133.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Sydney Sixers | 80c | 109.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d809backed Sydney Sixers | 59c | 100.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Brisbane Heat | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…d8aebacked Brisbane Heat | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…1209backed Brisbane Heat | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Brisbane Heat | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Sydney Sixers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…268dbacked Sydney Sixers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Brisbane Heat | 18c | 81.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed Brisbane Heat | 33c | 76.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Sydney Sixers | 68c | 73.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Brisbane Heat | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Sydney Sixers | 58c | 51.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brisbane Heat | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed Sydney Sixers | 63c | 48.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Brisbane Heat | 30c | 44.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Brisbane Heat | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Sydney Sixers | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed Sydney Sixers | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sydney Sixers | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Brisbane Heat | 43c | 23.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Sydney Sixers | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Sydney Sixers | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Sydney Sixers | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…650ebacked Sydney Sixers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…05f0backed Sydney Sixers | 57c | 19.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b8…51dabacked Sydney Sixers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Sydney Sixers | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.