TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x28c8…aacc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT5058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$117.46
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$233.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$234.9
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$90
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$78.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$18.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$201.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.7%+$336
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.7%+$336
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$101.2
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,683.04
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$212
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,056
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,705Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$2,213.52
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST3923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs Canada (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.7
T20 World Cup: India vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$72
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$45
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58.8
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40.3
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$77.4
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$100.8
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game Semi Finals)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+475.4%+$130.54
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+354.5%+$208.26
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$59.4
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Adelaide Strikers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$93
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+47.1%+$96
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$690.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$615.6
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$259.26
Levante UD vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$115.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+82%+$166.68
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$72
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$196
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+114.2%+$47.97
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.5
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42
Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.5
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.7
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$495.38
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$205.85
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.86
Pisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+39.2%+$78.91
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$125.4
AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,653.11
Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$108
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$81
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$125.8
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$93
Will Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,751.97
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$90
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+95.5%+$194.78
Will SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$73.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$203
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$187.2
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$4,692
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$449.5
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$81.6
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+30.1%+$150.39
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$28.88
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-68.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.79
Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.73
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.16
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$54.17
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$51.3
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+77.9%+$27.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$124.8
Will Algeria vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+62.7%+$42.4
Tanzania vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+138.1%+$139.2
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Burkina Faso vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$22.26
Will Tunisia vs. Uganda end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+37%+$73.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Lille OSC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$84.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.