La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x473ca71a5ef2d6705b1d8771fc4b0961ea098cf3c5c22e727d96c1df3ff11c11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x916f…53babacked Over | 69c | 32,539$22,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,086.98 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 31c | 13,890$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.77 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 31c | 11,498$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.86 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 31c | 8,467$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.77 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 4,970$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.3 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.74 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 2,648$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.95 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 70c | 1,193$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.97 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 30c | 1,142$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.07 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 12c | 865.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 71c | 705$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 66c | 438.57$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 29c | 421$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 372.76$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 77c | 252.58$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 29c | 211.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 72c | 136.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 34c | 135$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 71c | 135$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…33d8backed Under | 35c | 134.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 68c | 107.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 74c | 80.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 68c | 79.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 68c | 73.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Over | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 33c | 50.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 67c | 40.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 30c | 39.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Over | 65c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 31c | 35.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…2cc3backed Over | 67c | 35.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 31c | 34.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 74c | 30.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…1af1backed Over | 67c | 24.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…7e6abacked Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 67c | 15.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…9904backed Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.