TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc06d…9904

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.75
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.35
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.88
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.15
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+32.7%+$11.1
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$11.55
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.25
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick69cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cervia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Juan Martinbacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Istanbul: Alafia Ayeni vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Madrid Open: Mariano Navone vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.96
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.11
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Adam Waltonbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.11
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+80.9%+$62.6
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+64.5%+$30.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+50.8%+$10.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+163.7%+$17.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$2.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.