Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Adam Walton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9b1d131539e6efa90672e1c34577d8355be4c9b976ff1607a01ddf740b46a90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karen Khachanovof Karen Khachanov, Adam Walton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Adam Walton | 21c | 20,273$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.55 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Adam Walton | 13c | 15,450$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.04 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…e4d1backed Adam Walton | 3c | 5,929$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.29 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Adam Walton | 18c | 4,754$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.72 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Karen Khachanov | 80c | 4,108$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.62 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Adam Walton | 20c | 3,913$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.73 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Adam Walton | 7c | 3,729$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.29 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 3,691$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.08 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Adam Walton | 14c | 3,513$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.88 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Adam Walton | 21c | 3,452$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.93 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 2,627$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.59 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Adam Walton | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Adam Walton | 10c | 2,296$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.21 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Adam Walton | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Adam Walton | 7c | 1,741$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Adam Walton | 2c | 1,718$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Karen Khachanov | 80c | 1,621$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.26 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Adam Walton | 7c | 1,565$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Adam Walton | 19c | 1,453$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.55 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Adam Walton | 21c | 1,444$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Adam Walton | 12c | 1,172$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.17 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 1,157$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.84 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Adam Walton | 7c | 1,154$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf288…c377backed Adam Walton | 24c | 987.25$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Karen Khachanov | 78c | 965$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.48 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Karen Khachanov | 75c | 903.79$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Adam Walton | 20c | 875$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 867.23$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Adam Walton | 22c | 866.55$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.64 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Adam Walton | 20c | 748.69$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.26 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Adam Walton | 25c | 738.1$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.53 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Adam Walton | 29c | 660.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Adam Walton | 13c | 567.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 563.16$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adam Walton | 8c | 533.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Adam Walton | 7c | 513$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 502.61$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Karen Khachanov | 79c | 500$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Adam Walton | 25c | 454.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 435.98$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Adam Walton | 20c | 434.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Adam Walton | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Adam Walton | 26c | 398.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karen Khachanov | 75c | 397.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 395.98$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Adam Walton | 21c | 385.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Karen Khachanov | 79c | 367.2$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Adam Walton | 20c | 352.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Karen Khachanov | 80c | 344.81$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Adam Walton | 21c | 317.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Karen Khachanov | 80c | 308.75$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Adam Walton | 5c | 282.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Adam Walton | 22c | 243.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Adam Walton | 8c | 241.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Adam Walton | 21c | 238.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 354 | 36.4%129 W · 225 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Adam Walton | 8c | 223.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Adam Walton | 21c | 222$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Adam Walton | 22c | 217.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 199 | 26.6%53 W · 146 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Karen Khachanov | 78c | 202.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Adam Walton | 21c | 199.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 199.3$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Karen Khachanov | 80c | 185.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Karen Khachanov | 78c | 181.21$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Adam Walton | 8c | 177.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 175.18$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…3564backed Adam Walton | 7c | 174.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Adam Walton | 17c | 173.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Adam Walton | 21c | 152.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Adam Walton | 21c | 152.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 150.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Adam Walton | 22c | 149.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Adam Walton | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 141.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Karen Khachanov | 79c | 140.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Karen Khachanov | 77c | 127.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 125.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Karen Khachanov | 76c | 125.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Karen Khachanov | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Karen Khachanov | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…570abacked Karen Khachanov | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…56f1backed Karen Khachanov | 77c | 123.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Adam Walton | 18c | 122.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Karen Khachanov | 80c | 121.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Adam Walton | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Adam Walton | 19c | 110.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Adam Walton | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karen Khachanov | 74c | 99.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Adam Walton | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Adam Walton | 18c | 95.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001f…abd8backed Karen Khachanov | 79c | 92.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Karen Khachanov | 74c | 91.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Karen Khachanov | 78c | 90.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Adam Walton | 21c | 86.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Karen Khachanov | 76c | 75.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Karen Khachanov | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Adam Walton | 16c | 73.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Adam Walton | 20c | 65.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Adam Walton | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Adam Waltonthis page
- Khachanov vs. Walton: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)Khachanov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.