Tennis · resolved market
Khachanov vs. Walton: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x889e4c933a0c9033aaea4e5ac29dac4edd6db3e73ab46ddbab6708f54c426705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.97 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 60c | 836.35$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.81 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over | 60c | 398.83$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.3 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 58c | 362.6$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 41c | 232.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Under | 50c | 205.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +24.4wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 60c | 202.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Over | 58c | 194.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 234 | 57.3%134 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 46c | 172.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Over | 57c | 166.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Over | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 48c | 142.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Over | 60c | 130.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Over | 60c | 123.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 45c | 90.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Over | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 46c | 39.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 38.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 36.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Over | 57c | 34.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Over | 54c | 19.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Khachanov vs. Walton: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Adam WaltonKaren Khachanov won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)Khachanov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.