TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa590…271c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4850%24 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)backed Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$18.56
Brazzaville: Calvin Hemery vs Ivan Marrerobacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$4.76
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$59.25
Set Handicap: Paolini (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)backed Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Hanfmann (+1.5)backed Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)backed Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.73
Laura Siegemund vs. Sara Bejlek: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Istanbul: Alice Tubello vs Elizara Yanevabacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+122%+$60.34
Zeynep Sonmez vs. Jennifer Ruggeri: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Federica Urgesi vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.84
Set Handicap: Waltert (-1.5) vs Yuan (+1.5)backed Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.04
Set Handicap: Vallejo (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)backed Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.81
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Abidjan 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Hamish Stewartbacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$34.03
Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.2
La Bisbal: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Elena Pridankinabacked Elena Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58%+$27.6
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Niels Viskerbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Abidjan 2: Hamish Stewart vs Blaise Bicknellbacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)backed Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.32
Baptiste vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Aix en Provence: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$32.92
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+269.2%+$137.31
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.37
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked Ronaldo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.64
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Supernova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.54
Game Handicap: BOOM (-1.5) vs Barcząca Esports (+1.5)backed Barcząca Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: SHFT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$14.93
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.34
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.05
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$34.94
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$23.68
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.09
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$22.22
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.13
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+115.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)backed CA Paranaense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$7.9
Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$120.97
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+3,017.7%+$1,508.83
Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)backed Fluminense FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$31.28
Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)backed Coritiba FBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Independiente Medellín vs. Cusco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Alianza Atlético vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)backed CA Mineiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.76
CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$22.81
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$4.94
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)backed CF Pachuca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$4.27
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$6.76
Will Botafogo FR vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$56.55
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)backed Botafogo FR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$3.81
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$9.84
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: THE (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)backed Fisher College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.04
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffsbacked Turma do Pagode · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.37
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs UNO MILLE (+1.5)backed UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$88.95
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.22
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stagebacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Counter-Strike: BIG vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.51
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47%+$14.29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.35
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$24.57
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.02
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.18
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.09
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$91.97
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.25
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$35.17
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$4.08
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44%+$4.75
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$30.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)backed REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.36
Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$15.97
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$31.69
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)backed FC Tōkyō · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+321.3%+$167.23
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$15.8
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26%+$12.3
Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)backed AVS Futebol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$131.58
Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.12
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)backed FC Midtjylland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.99
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.61
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+165.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)backed SC Braga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.