Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaf83799cc6082ec3e8fe861491bd45b8e9aa8ab5869632a2e953f8dd927abc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 1,956$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.07 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 1,529$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.43 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…63cbbacked Over | 20c | 1,028$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 43c | 818.01$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 661.74$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 33c | 539.28$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 47c | 490.86$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 31c | 394.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 310.72$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 80c | 306.28$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 15c | 299.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 192.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 47c | 188.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 171.7$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 12c | 142.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 47c | 130.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 47c | 129.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 58c | 116.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 24c | 104.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 16c | 102.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…a96fbacked Over | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 46c | 97.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Under | 31c | 95.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 36c | 87.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Under | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 69.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 80c | 61.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 30c | 57.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 58c | 53.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 77c | 51.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 44c | 49.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Under | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 45c | 43.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 33c | 43.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 35.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 69c | 22.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 69c | 21.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.