Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcff4e8ad7375e8584f6a89fd05a06e8bc4a07c98c43a71bade62b24470edd28a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 62c | 2,639$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.87 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 2,110$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.21 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 20c | 1,513$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 71c | 1,393$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.95 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 989.38$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.79 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 790.26$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.3 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 74c | 675$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 639.6$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.46 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 54c | 535.75$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 52c | 434.64$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 38c | 391.28$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 75c | 368.36$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 40c | 363.74$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 41c | 313.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.34 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 37c | 299.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 289.42$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 259.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Under | 33c | 245.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 48c | 239.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 47c | 213.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 45c | 191.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.17 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 66c | 176.4$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 67c | 169.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 18c | 158.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 36c | 155$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 66c | 148.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 66c | 148.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 54c | 135.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 33c | 134.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 122.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 73c | 83.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 62c | 71.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Under | 53c | 56.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 30c | 55.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…68cebacked Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 55c | 53.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 55c | 53.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 47c | 41.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 74c | 40.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 34.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Over | 66c | 34.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…8af6backed Over | 32c | 31.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +191.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Over | 66c | 29.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 45c | 25.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 52c | 24.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 54c | 22.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Over | 66c | 19.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 53c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Over | 53c | 19.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.