TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95ed…b7ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.06
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$36.69
Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.23
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$63.69
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.03
São Paulo FC vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.07
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+118%+$21.69
Clube do Remo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
EC Bahia vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Botafogo FR vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.19
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$25.35
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.48
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.89
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.86
Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$23.71
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.75
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.47
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.92
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.68
Kawasaki Frontale vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
FC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$26.19
Konyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.94
Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.38
Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.13
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$28.34
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$33.95
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.96
SC Heerenveen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$30.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.25
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$22.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$29.29
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$31.59
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$19.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.