Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc8f3742962f781258f799baee37e9857ab8dc98465ca2e4ae52b3343533bb92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 850.2$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.93 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c98backed Over | 34c | 528.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.82 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 44c | 439.23$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.97 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 49c | 404.83$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.37 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 45c | 344$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 330.95$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.3 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 274.55$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 38c | 253.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 66c | 250.48$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…b7cabacked Under | 9c | 222.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +244.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb1…da32backed Over | 43c | 213.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c50…ef2cbacked Over | 43c | 211.84$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff2…6714backed Under | 57c | 207.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…2c7dbacked Under | 57c | 206.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 57c | 201.57$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 51c | 105.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Over | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 50c | 75.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 61.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 55.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 46c | 52.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 51.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 38c | 48.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Under | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 46c | 39.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…27b0backed Over | 50c | 37.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 35.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 62c | 32.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 46c | 28.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 46c | 28.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3b…913dbacked Under | 54c | 27.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 43c | 24.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 24.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 58c | 19.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.