Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3373fc4042fd5af9f98df3dde66d9a2610fc664fd4e73ad580dba3f1ef5b340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 38c | 2,800$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.98 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 1,464$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 79c | 943.85$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.32 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 769.81$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.86 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 40c | 699.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 579.12$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.23 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 39c | 499.68$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.31 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 232.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 29c | 212.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 66c | 135.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…a7ebbacked Under | 73c | 130.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 26c | 110.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 25c | 107.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 106.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 42c | 103.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…3841backed Over | 24c | 99.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 92.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 65c | 79.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 32c | 73.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 73.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under | 70c | 70.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 59c | 66.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 30c | 65.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 49c | 55.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 53c | 55.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 60c | 52.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 51c | 49.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 65c | 45.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 60c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Over | 40c | 39.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under | 77c | 39.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 64c | 38.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 43c | 38.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3b…913dbacked Under | 62c | 24.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.