Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85605de9a8c7b5d1e7955aab4fd2934c2642c91db7f4084e74520fb133c502c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 76c | 5,182$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.92 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 3,730$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.63 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 24c | 2,377$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.39 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 66c | 2,279$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.21 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 1,324$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.67 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Over | 66c | 777$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +455.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 34c | 746.23$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.72 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 65c | 615.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Under | 34c | 491.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Over | 68c | 339.54$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 32c | 295.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 24c | 279.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Under | 79c | 249.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 13c | 155$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 13c | 150.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 80c | 130.17$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 15c | 79.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 56.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…124fbacked Over | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under | 58c | 39.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 78c | 38.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…0172backed Under | 40c | 31.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.