Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37e5ec850f6e3db8cacb3408c78436800b81e46befb6ad06b60589cee08b009c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9857…a505backed Over | 1c | 5,733$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 1c | 1,647$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 1c | 1,581$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 43c | 1,426$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.21 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 617.92$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.73 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 22c | 454.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 47c | 448.84$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 354.05$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 57c | 288.16$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over | 4c | 276.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…587dbacked Under | 37c | 264.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 32c | 171.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Under | 22c | 157.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed Over | 78c | 155.61$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 23c | 150.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 58c | 79.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 63c | 61.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Under | 57c | 59.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 73c | 57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 63c | 52.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 42c | 43.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 71c | 36.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 28.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 74c | 27.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 58c | 25.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Over | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c27…567abacked Over | 63c | 18.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 75c | 17.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.