Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x349b893f3aaa1e04ba46721c87f63dd80ecffe1766a5232de2f804cd6cdfcd72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Damac Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Damac Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 49c | 7,167$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 3,284$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.23 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Damac Saudi Club | 55c | 905.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 47c | 827.98$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Damac Saudi Club | 52c | 614$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.34 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Damac Saudi Club | 53c | 561.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.97 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 325$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 325$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 315.87$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 19c | 260.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 225$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 42c | 208.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Damac Saudi Club | 47c | 191.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Damac Saudi Club | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 48c | 155.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Damac Saudi Club | 56c | 100.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Damac Saudi Club | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Damac Saudi Club | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9fc3backed Damac Saudi Club | 54c | 92.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 44c | 78.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Damac Saudi Club | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 48c | 69.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Damac Saudi Club | 53c | 66.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 48c | 62.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 44c | 62.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 33c | 54.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…4248backed Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Damac Saudi Club | 52c | 49.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Damac Saudi Club | 55c | 46.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 50c | 43.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 46c | 42.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 60c | 35.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Damac Saudi Club | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Damac Saudi Club | 55c | 29.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…d219backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 48c | 25.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Damac Saudi Club | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Damac Saudi Club | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.