Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf54470a883c5d9d67e9c8a61fc6f70b4eb5ac2294ee19f82f30ae67e6bc98bae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 0c | 19,348$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 1c | 8,113$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 7,584$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 7,557$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.43 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 5,278$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 52c | 4,330$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 3,010$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.1 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under | 46c | 2,160$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 47c | 2,130$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Under | 50c | 1,672$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 993.05$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.48 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 55c | 714$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Over | 49c | 631.91$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Over | 10c | 619.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 607.62$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.59 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Under | 54c | 592.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 273.39$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 49c | 163.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 144$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 65c | 130.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Over | 54c | 53.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…5e87backed Over | 53c | 53.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 49.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 46c | 48.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 41c | 44.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…64dabacked Under | 55c | 39.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…aa0fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Under | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 54c | 27.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over | 57c | 26.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 41c | 25.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 45c | 23.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 50c | 21.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…4248backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 69c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.