TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5a8…daab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
233
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8647.7%41 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.71
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$91.91
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.99
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$39.74
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$28
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$35.8
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.39
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$100.74
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$55.67
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.57
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-38%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Mls — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$35.44
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$12.81
Real Salt Lake vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.57
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Charlotte FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Houston Dynamo vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New England Revolution vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Red Bulls vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Real Salt Lake vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.52
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Chicago Fire FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$65.23
D.C. United SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+319.8%+$63.96
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
IF Brommapojkarna vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)backed IK Sirius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Gaziantep FK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.92
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$37.73
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.25
Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.11
FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.31
AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
All 24 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.13
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$18.7
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$11.49
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Racing Club vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.36
Club Always Ready vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.29
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.39
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$75.34
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.57
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$25.59
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$20.87
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$27.9
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$75.03
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.48
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.29
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$26.46
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.01
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$25.31
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$26.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.51
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$16.89
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$30.57
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.18
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.7
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.77
Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.09
Floriana FC vs. Shamrock Rovers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$16.85
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$58.81
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.81
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.44
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.5
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+61.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$16.57
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$8.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.