TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Over33c48,302$15,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,907.743234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over52c47,096$24,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,273.111445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c39,582$23,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,814.936,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under51c24,252$12,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,826.662653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c17,693$10,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,597.94,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over52c14,832$7,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,712.45145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Under50c14,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Under49c9,863$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c8,579$4,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,294.2817557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Under49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5701752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under48c6,793$3,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.4214652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under67c6,730$4,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.8120545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over49c5,313$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.5213348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over52c4,991$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.561833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over53c4,034$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.9610739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82015255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under47c3,249$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.414841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c2,634$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.6676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under69c2,574$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.912035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.5315757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c2,010$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.22,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0406550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Over52c1,949$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.246857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under48c1,886$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+88.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Over53c1,834$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.81323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c1,675$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.291,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under48c1,657$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.461631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under49c1,530$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.312949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Under48c1,504$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.013246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,458$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8421056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over52c1,438$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.823132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over52c1,391$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.522055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over50c1,369$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over49c1,327$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c1,239$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.2241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c1,206$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62439555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under48c1,140$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.942334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c1,073$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.9955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under67c1,058$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.098756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over48c1,048$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.715233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,001$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.761,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over51c999.95$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.977357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c882.71$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.981,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over53c869.12$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6310246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under48c807.33$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.813956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over51c782.56$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3326444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under42c773.53$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.181338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c719.75$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.2359445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d1…555dbacked Under43c675.02$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Under49c658.8$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.998350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under48c617.37$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.879152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over40c610.51$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over50c566.48$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.246451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under47c531$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.4385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.41,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.41,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26013858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Over54c450.19$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.15139.2%20 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under45c445.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.873351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under36c437.71$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8122146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under49c404.53$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3110827.8%30 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.913167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9112549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under48c400.55$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7824052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Under48c397.21$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.552744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c393.33$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.534852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over52c392.88$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7630059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.361637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf01…6e5bbacked Under51c336.86$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.061421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-57.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c334.27$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3148950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c330.45$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Under67c311.99$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.743148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over51c299.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.999953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under48c294.47$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.127660.5%46 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed Under50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over53c287.9$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.585658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c283.46$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.381,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under51c282.16$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.513259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over53c260.51$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7210847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c258.53$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8513748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under48c253.97$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.063215.6%5 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over51c252.3$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0942862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Under39c247.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.698831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over52c246.26$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Over10c236.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.655032%16 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Under47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.188949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Under48c204.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.35349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044425%11 W · 33 L-7.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over67c199.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9914351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under49c198.02$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9918156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Under53c197.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.062378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over46c184.93$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.074540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.