Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3a28c9e0da892ffac23cb073cd058633710f3308f88b66802524e63dc245656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burnley FCof Manchester City FC, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Burnley FC | 39c | 67,605$26,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,021.54 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…dda0backed Manchester City FC | 65c | 36,374$23,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,497.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC | 37c | 23,698$8,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,831.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Manchester City FC | 53c | 22,436$11,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,845.19 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 14,719$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,212.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Manchester City FC | 68c | 9,772$6,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,613.21 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Burnley FC | 31c | 7,593$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,273.36 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Manchester City FC | 68c | 7,212$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,904 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Manchester City FC | 67c | 6,010$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Manchester City FC | 66c | 5,978$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.15 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Burnley FC | 39c | 4,817$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Burnley FC | 34c | 3,581$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.39 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2091backed Manchester City FC | 70c | 3,088$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Burnley FC | 39c | 2,940$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.29 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Burnley FC | 33c | 2,697$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.97 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Manchester City FC | 65c | 2,545$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.78 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Manchester City FC | 73c | 2,499$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.91 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Manchester City FC | 68c | 2,452$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.36 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester City FC | 56c | 2,292$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Manchester City FC | 66c | 2,186$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 2,170$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.22 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Manchester City FC | 67c | 2,131$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.59 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Burnley FC | 33c | 2,078$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.42 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Burnley FC | 33c | 1,926$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.11 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Manchester City FC | 70c | 1,821$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Manchester City FC | 67c | 1,737$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Manchester City FC | 69c | 1,597$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Manchester City FC | 68c | 1,443$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.79 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Manchester City FC | 63c | 1,436$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.72 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Burnley FC | 34c | 1,401$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Manchester City FC | 15c | 1,266$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.39 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Burnley FC | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Manchester City FC | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Manchester City FC | 69c | 1,011$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Manchester City FC | 69c | 991.21$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Manchester City FC | 69c | 981.4$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Burnley FC | 35c | 979.4$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.37 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Manchester City FC | 66c | 938.69$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.85 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Burnley FC | 32c | 901.01$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.47 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Manchester City FC | 66c | 871.92$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.24 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…b472backed Manchester City FC | 70c | 843.12$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Burnley FC | 34c | 840.63$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Manchester City FC | 67c | 823.88$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.31 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Manchester City FC | 66c | 790.05$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Burnley FC | 33c | 788.64$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.39 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda13…0560backed Manchester City FC | 68c | 763.03$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Manchester City FC | 67c | 726.43$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed Manchester City FC | 67c | 658.34$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.09 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Burnley FC | 32c | 623.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.92 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Manchester City FC | 67c | 603.03$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.22 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Manchester City FC | 69c | 570.36$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Burnley FC | 34c | 569.93$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.88 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Manchester City FC | 65c | 568.05$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.27 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Burnley FC | 33c | 535.45$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.31 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Manchester City FC | 67c | 529.01$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Burnley FC | 32c | 520.94$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.21 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Manchester City FC | 70c | 519.06$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.34 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Manchester City FC | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Manchester City FC | 70c | 495.57$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Burnley FC | 33c | 484.74$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.82 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Manchester City FC | 67c | 475.15$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Burnley FC | 37c | 471.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.07 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Manchester City FC | 68c | 451.31$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.89 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Manchester City FC | 66c | 450$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…936ebacked Manchester City FC | 68c | 429$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Manchester City FC | 67c | 428.65$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…0734backed Manchester City FC | 69c | 417.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Manchester City FC | 68c | 414.8$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.76 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Manchester City FC | 68c | 406.92$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.37 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Burnley FC | 34c | 401.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.37 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Manchester City FC | 66c | 397.76$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.58 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…80c0backed Manchester City FC | 68c | 396.65$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Manchester City FC | 69c | 392.55$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Manchester City FC | 68c | 360.59$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.2 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…6d27backed Manchester City FC | 69c | 357.66$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Burnley FC | 32c | 348.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.95 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Burnley FC | 33c | 345.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Manchester City FC | 65c | 340.34$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.22 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Burnley FC | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Manchester City FC | 56c | 317.93$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.19 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…7e96backed Manchester City FC | 66c | 302.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…09afbacked Manchester City FC | 67c | 294.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Manchester City FC | 65c | 294.16$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Manchester City FC | 67c | 294.06$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.02 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Manchester City FC | 67c | 290.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Manchester City FC | 68c | 288.81$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…d11dbacked Manchester City FC | 69c | 284.83$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.27 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Burnley FC | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Manchester City FC | 70c | 281.47$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Manchester City FC | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Burnley FC | 32c | 252.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2a…22cabacked Manchester City FC | 67c | 252.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Burnley FC | 33c | 240.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Manchester City FC | 66c | 230$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Manchester City FC | 68c | 216.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Manchester City FC | 67c | 213.43$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed Manchester City FC | 68c | 200.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Manchester City FC | 66c | 199.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Burnley FC | 33c | 193.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Manchester City FC | 67c | 188.15$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -5.1wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.