TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over22c14,375$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,127.476,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under68c8,663$5,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.428962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc1d…be30backed Under68c3,288$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c3,132$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.724,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over31c2,834$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.552955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under70c2,454$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.093871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Over31c2,422$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.994731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under61c2,390$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.217650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under67c2,307$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.42263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over32c1,512$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5110739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over23c1,240$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.064129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under68c1,087$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.8141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over32c1,072$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.4759445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over32c1,043$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.311,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa920…ccfdbacked Under80c933.53$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over30c833$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over30c793.87$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1610636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddfb…a9d6backed Over32c666$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over32c635.95$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.539555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over33c595.08$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3830059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over33c578.07$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5259247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under67c541.35$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.652653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over23c520.55$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under69c396.49$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.914852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under68c357.52$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4155751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5184…a654backed Under70c350.71$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.21366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c315.26$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.021,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over31c305$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.510827.8%30 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Under67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.563063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Over41c282.32$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.755028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over33c255.04$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9222146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7305…1cb7backed Under68c245.27$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over31c242.6$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.021,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under69c213.35$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.147660.5%46 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcff3…2eeebacked Over49c198.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.932832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over30c196$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.81315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Over31c179.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.573033.3%10 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0722242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over30c159.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.69953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.99724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over31c156.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.928037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9314431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9621254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb36a…30cabacked Over33c145.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.994535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Under68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.161275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under70c131.6$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.487954.4%43 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under75c118.24$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5722645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under70c112.23$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.674254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Over44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.321546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under67c102.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.794168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under59c89.34$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6317557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over33c84.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0313846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under69c83.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.032,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over31c74.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.185839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b1…4f69backed Over39c73.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.911233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff38…1d79backed Under67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over17c73.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7536545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd628…a698backed Under69c71.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over31c68.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.092045%9 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Over33c66.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222763%17 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over31c65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1342862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Over33c61.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.361040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0167…8525backed Over32c58.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.813030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under64c58.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1241260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f39…f8f2backed Over33c58.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.240%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over44c58.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over32c51.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4618961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.514258.5%83 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8ca…2a85backed Under69c49.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Over33c49.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3245224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under54c46.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.477157.7%41 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaadf…70b7backed Over32c44.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under67c43.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4822356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3710939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Under58c41.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under67c39.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.26157.4%35 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27d…6dfcbacked Under68c36.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.543663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe153…6b4abacked Over40c30.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Over34c29.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.154961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under57c29.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.492185.7%18 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under69c28.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.823060%18 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd0b…69a6backed Under62c27.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under71c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.035032%16 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aaf…530dbacked Under57c27.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.765068%34 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b1f…f549backed Under67c24.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.091850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under68c22.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1429855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e83…04fbbacked Under70c21.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under62c19.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.439953.5%53 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c7a…f619backed Under68c18.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.051361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.