TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0167…8525

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$89.83
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.57
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.7
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$60.1
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.76
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$63.4
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Anthony Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$710.15
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$33.1
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chidi Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+242.7%+$121.36
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Eduardo Chapolin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.88
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.71
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andre Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.22
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Shauna Bannon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Polyana Viana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$52.08
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$82.24
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$22.75
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.26
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.77
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.06
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kyler Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.53
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.58
Will Azamat Murzakanov win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.41
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Cub Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.93
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.73
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.31
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)backed CD Castellón · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.92
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$41.9
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$66.75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.43
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.44
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$31.36
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.28
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed CR Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.2
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.21
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.42
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$34.42
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.75
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.61
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.16
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.41
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$76.09
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$104.64
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.09
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.72
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. FK Partizan Beograd: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.66
Will GKS GieKSa Katowice win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$44.39
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$38.93
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.31
Spread: AZ (-1.5)backed AZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$30.89
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)backed Ferencvárosi TC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+163.2%+$30.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.54
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.24
Buccaneers vs. Jetsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Titans vs. 49ersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$18.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$58.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20.08
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.91
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-6.5)backed Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.