Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c2f9d21988f0968f4ecf9f9e69b51fd10f05f1a166deea1d89295bb0cc1a693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sport Lisboa e Benficaof Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Estoril Praia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 52c | 17,397$9,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,351.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 3,177$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.14 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Estoril Praia | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Estoril Praia | 43c | 2,390$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Estoril Praia | 42c | 2,213$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.5 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 1,184$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.32 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 920$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.6 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 57c | 880.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 58c | 857.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 70c | 789.58$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.99 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 79c | 733.88$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Estoril Praia | 20c | 719.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Estoril Praia | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 56c | 585.26$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Estoril Praia | 52c | 382.39$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Estoril Praia | 8c | 380.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Estoril Praia | 13c | 370$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Estoril Praia | 43c | 357.84$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.87 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Estoril Praia | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Estoril Praia | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Estoril Praia | 46c | 285.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Estoril Praia | 46c | 279.25$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 57c | 211.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Estoril Praia | 41c | 211.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 58c | 206$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Estoril Praia | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 195.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Estoril Praia | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…887cbacked Estoril Praia | 45c | 128.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Estoril Praia | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Estoril Praia | 52c | 41.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Estoril Praia | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 56c | 34.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Estoril Praia | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Estoril Praia | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 77c | 18.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)this page
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.