Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc930a7e8118ffc8231ed3f5e7ddb13c09308a8b678646353a5df697515bcf6d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estoril Praiaof Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Estoril Praia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 7c | 8,472$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.15 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 33c | 2,036$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.11 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 68c | 1,527$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Estoril Praia | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Estoril Praia | 69c | 1,184$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.04 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Estoril Praia | 46c | 1,073$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.75 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Estoril Praia | 14c | 532$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.2 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 6c | 434.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Estoril Praia | 63c | 263.41$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Estoril Praia | 68c | 252$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Estoril Praia | 14c | 140.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a0…a8a6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 11c | 102.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 58c | 91.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Estoril Praia | 64c | 80.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Estoril Praia | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0338backed Estoril Praia | 66c | 74.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Estoril Praia | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…d004backed Estoril Praia | 70c | 35.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Estoril Praia | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 55c | 30.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Estoril Praia | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)this page
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.