Other European Leagues · resolved market
Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc3df0571b7ffb076890f5a42a9465ff4cfe4321d490911c299a8b3df4a40f22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 3,113$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 3,091$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.92 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed No | 63c | 2,367$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 2,325$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.98 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 28c | 1,364$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.81 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed Yes | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…7310backed Yes | 54c | 960$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 29c | 582.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.75 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Yes | 54c | 578.3$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 561.09$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.51 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 56c | 532.22$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 422.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.58 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 24c | 408.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 41c | 399.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 67c | 361.9$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.96 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 62c | 349.97$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 46c | 346.54$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 340.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.72 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…d916backed Yes | 55c | 275.76$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 45c | 230.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed No | 46c | 217.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 41c | 194.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 48c | 187.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 57c | 174.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 32c | 160$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 53c | 108.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 57c | 87.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 57c | 87.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 57c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0bbfbacked No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 39c | 64.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 53c | 31.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…f14dbacked No | 75c | 26.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 58c | 23.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.