TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e44…f14d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-58.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.31
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$4.07
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.97
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$54.14
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$37.86
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+187.3%+$46.83
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.51
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashibacked Ryuki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Dali Blanchbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Cordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Miguel Tobonbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
Valencia: Damir Dzumhur vs Jaume Munarbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Parma: Solana Sierra vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Oeiras 4: Lautaro Midon vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+155.7%+$70.06
Parma: Lucia Bronzetti vs Camila Osoriobacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Zagreb: Mili Poljicak vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.36
Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevicbacked Emanuel Ivanisevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-85.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Will CD Guadalajara vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
CA Mineiro vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.74
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)backed CD Guadalajara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$4.06
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-85.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed Gil Vicente FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$4.79
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+66.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$29.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.