TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Movistar KOI
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40ea…832fbacked Movistar KOI35c26,731$9,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,288.720339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…f14dbacked Movistar KOI0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Movistar KOI43c6,513$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.5864749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Karmine Corp56c5,600$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.9814346.9%67 W · 76 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Karmine Corp56c5,383$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.5311551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c0…8d4cbacked Karmine Corp57c5,161$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.62763%17 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Karmine Corp75c4,976$3,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.061,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp77c4,937$3,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.331,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked Movistar KOI22c4,552$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.514327.3%39 W · 104 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Movistar KOI45c4,278$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.910058%58 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Karmine Corp71c4,085$2,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.162,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a3…82dabacked Karmine Corp78c2,841$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.072512%3 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-82.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Movistar KOI43c2,767$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.425339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Movistar KOI43c2,383$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.8414549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Karmine Corp68c2,157$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.1539859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Movistar KOI43c2,025$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.758558.8%50 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Movistar KOI38c1,953$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.8418139.2%71 W · 110 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Karmine Corp57c1,743$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.1634651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Karmine Corp59c1,716$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.2346050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Movistar KOI24c1,665$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.231,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Karmine Corp71c1,650$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.951,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Movistar KOI43c1,575$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.221,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Movistar KOI44c1,544$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.2129940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Movistar KOI48c1,517$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.971,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Karmine Corp56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66010648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Karmine Corp56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.981,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Movistar KOI43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.9820045%90 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Karmine Corp60c1,421$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.9822757.3%130 W · 97 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Karmine Corp59c1,403$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.9296057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43af…4413backed Karmine Corp56c1,352$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed Movistar KOI53c1,330$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70026661.7%164 W · 102 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Movistar KOI44c1,256$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.5638640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Movistar KOI44c1,168$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51411632.8%38 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Karmine Corp57c1,061$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.2611032.7%36 W · 74 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp75c1,041$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.252,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp75c1,036$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.461,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Karmine Corp55c1,036$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.6539956.6%226 W · 173 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd54…733bbacked Movistar KOI1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Movistar KOI22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22062150.6%314 W · 307 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Karmine Corp56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Karmine Corp56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44017749.7%88 W · 89 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Movistar KOI44c999.98$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.991,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Movistar KOI22c999.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9945937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Karmine Corp47c947.18$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.4614035.7%50 W · 90 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Movistar KOI43c922.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8240145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Karmine Corp57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38714352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Karmine Corp57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1947453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Movistar KOI44c809.75$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2949847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp73c744$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.43,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Movistar KOI19c742.4$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.852,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Movistar KOI45c700$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.530151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Movistar KOI24c698.7$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.661,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Movistar KOI24c687.2$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4478043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed Movistar KOI44c656.73$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.964346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked Movistar KOI44c623.4$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Karmine Corp57c607.84$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.372227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Karmine Corp57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2581,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df4…0bd9backed Karmine Corp50c589.2$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Movistar KOI31c568.16$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.031,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Karmine Corp56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.711,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed Karmine Corp57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2158235.4%29 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Movistar KOI43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2158922.5%20 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Movistar KOI42c499.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Movistar KOI44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Movistar KOI43c499.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2155549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bae…ae9fbacked Karmine Corp56c499.98$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9924563.7%156 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Karmine Corp58c499.54$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8137548%180 W · 195 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Karmine Corp56c496$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2429952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Movistar KOI44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Movistar KOI44c452.94$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.961,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Movistar KOI43c452.46$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5628253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Karmine Corp57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.623253.4%124 W · 108 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Movistar KOI44c437.19$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.221,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bf7…e64cbacked Movistar KOI23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024227.7%67 W · 175 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Movistar KOI44c417.89$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8715056%84 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Karmine Corp56c405.34$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3521249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…9d08backed Movistar KOI24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.521861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ea…3668backed Karmine Corp56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17611246.4%52 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fea…c9cbbacked Movistar KOI21c399.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Movistar KOI24c385.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.471,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee16…c341backed Karmine Corp57c373.08$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…0558backed Karmine Corp56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1418236.8%67 W · 115 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Karmine Corp56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1427050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf547…b14dbacked Karmine Corp56c354.7$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.211361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed Movistar KOI40c353.33$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3318633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3e…3918backed Karmine Corp57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Movistar KOI39c332.15$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9366845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Movistar KOI44c329.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9927244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Movistar KOI43c320$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.62,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Movistar KOI43c305.26$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.791,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Movistar KOI23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Karmine Corp75c266.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5652045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1665063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Karmine Corp78c256$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.323764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Movistar KOI20c254.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1422245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c248backed Movistar KOI20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016735.9%60 W · 107 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae9d…abe7backed Karmine Corp78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ee…878ebacked Karmine Corp77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.513857.2%79 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe7…b13cbacked Movistar KOI23c248.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Karmine Corp58c242.32$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3251852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.