Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8229d3e50e258695280f6368472c20f413a9067a1ec820790e87a1daf7c4e434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Movistar KOI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Movistar KOI | 70c | 610.97$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.68 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 416.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.63 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Movistar KOI | 71c | 385.86$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.96 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 382.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Movistar KOI | 70c | 183.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…a620backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Movistar KOI | 67c | 110.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…bda0backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Karmine Corp | 33c | 59.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Movistar KOI | 65c | 58.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 56.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Movistar KOI | 67c | 37.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…40b0backed Movistar KOI | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Movistar KOI | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.